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MLB · Mon, Aug 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4 · 1 Detroit Tigers. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.23 | +8.6% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.97 | +5.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.22 | +35.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +25.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +22.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Framber Valdez | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.25 | +13.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +12.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +10.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Drew Rasmussen | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.62 | +8.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Javier Baez | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +2.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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