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MLB · Mon, Aug 31, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 3 · 17 Chicago Cubs. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.88 | +13.2% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.94 | +2.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +32.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +26.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +22.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Harrison | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.18 | +17.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Clay Holmes | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.30 | +16.8% | 8 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +16.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +16.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +12.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.60 | +11.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +9.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +9.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Frelick | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +8.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +7.7% | 12 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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