Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Sep 1, 2026
Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros
Final score: Chicago White Sox 3 · 6 Houston Astros. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.09 | +1.6% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.96 | +1.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +32.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +22.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +15.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jose Altuve | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.49 | +10.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Drew Romo | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.71 | +6.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Anthony Kay | Chicago White Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.64 | +3.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Chase Meidroth | Chicago White Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +0.7% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Chicago White Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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