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MLB · Wed, Sep 23, 2026
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners
Final score: Houston Astros 7 · 0 Seattle Mariners. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +4.7% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.91 | +2.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Smith | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.37 | +20.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Yainer Diaz | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.77 | +8.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Cal Raleigh | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.07 | +7.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Brock Rodden | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.73 | +6.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Lazaro Montes | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.90 | +6.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Cristian Javier | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.74 | +2.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.57 | +1.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +1.3% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Mariners or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies | 8 | 75.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 12 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 17, 2026 | Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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