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MLB · Thu, Sep 24, 2026
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners
Final score: Houston Astros 5 · 6 Seattle Mariners. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +5.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.12 | +10.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Dominic Canzone | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.54 | +9.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| J.P. Crawford | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.38 | +9.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ethan Pecko | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.25 | +5.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Lazaro Montes | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.78 | +1.7% | 0 | WIN |
| George Kirby | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.78 | +1.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Mariners or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies | 8 | 75.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 12 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 17, 2026 | Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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