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MLB · Tue, Sep 1, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 9 · 4 Chicago Cubs. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.08 | +3.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 10.5 | 1.86 | +3.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Gasser | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.67 | +24.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +24.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matthew Boyd | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.13 | +11.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Gary Sanchez | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +10.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Joey Ortiz | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +8.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +8.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +5.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +5.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.91 | +5.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.85 | +5.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Andrew Vaughn | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +3.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.76 | +2.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +1.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +1.4% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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