Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Sep 1, 2026
New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: New York Mets 2 · 6 Tampa Bay Rays. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.76 | +1.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.99 | +22.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +18.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +12.7% | 6 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +11.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +10.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Freddy Peralta | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.79 | +1.9% | 7 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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