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MLB · Mon, Sep 7, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Chicago Cubs 3 · 4 Milwaukee Brewers. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.92 | +2.3% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.79 | +0.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +43.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +25.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +21.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +20.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +16.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +13.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Robert Gasser | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.89 | +7.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Matthew Boyd | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.02 | +3.2% | 7 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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