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MLB · Sun, Sep 13, 2026
Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Houston Astros 4 · 14 Tampa Bay Rays. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.37 | +51.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.29 | +45.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Hayden Wesneski | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.93 | +41.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +40.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.18 | +35.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +29.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.47 | +16.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jorge Mateo | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.75 | +11.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Allen | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.76 | +10.8% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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