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MLB · Tue, Sep 15, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 5 · 1 Pittsburgh Pirates. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 3.09 | +1.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.71 | +30.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +22.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +20.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +13.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.76 | +12.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +10.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +8.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +6.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +2.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +2.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Spencer Horwitz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +1.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +0.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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