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MLB · Wed, Sep 16, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 5 · 4 Pittsburgh Pirates. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.90 | +4.4% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.73 | +2.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +53.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +31.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.71 | +25.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +22.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +7.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +4.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +2.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Logan Henderson | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.66 | +1.8% | 8 | LOSS |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.63 | +1.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Milwaukee Brewers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 11 | 18.2% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 56.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 24 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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