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MLB · Wed, Sep 16, 2026
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Final score: San Diego Padres 3 · 9 Colorado Rockies. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 11.5 | 1.88 | +3.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 2.06 | +75.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.09 | +36.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +30.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Austin Hays | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +29.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jake Cronenworth | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +26.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +21.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +19.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +14.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +14.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Luis Campusano | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +11.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +1.9% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Colorado Rockies or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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