Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Sep 24, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 12 · 8 Colorado Rockies. 38 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 10 | 1.87 | +4.8% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.62 | +1.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adael Amador | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.39 | +51.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mason Adams | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.98 | +49.7% | 8 | WIN |
| Pavin Smith | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.44 | +44.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.17 | +39.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Lars Nootbaar | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.89 | +38.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Tim Tawa | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.79 | +38.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Connor Norby | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.70 | +26.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Jesus Sanchez | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.47 | +23.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +20.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Nolan Arenado | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.87 | +20.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jordan Beck | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.03 | +19.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +18.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Karros | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.60 | +17.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.32 | +17.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Lars Nootbaar | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +14.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.46 | +13.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +12.3% | 1 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.01 | +11.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +11.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +10.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.69 | +9.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nolan Arenado | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +8.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +8.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.76 | +7.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.46 | +6.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.52 | +6.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.70 | +6.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Adael Amador | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.43 | +5.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tanner Gordon | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | +5.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.10 | +3.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.66 | +3.1% | 0 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.89 | +3.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jordan Beck | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +2.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.23 | +1.9% | 3 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +0.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Pavin Smith | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +0.2% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Colorado Rockies or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies | 8 | 75.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.