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MLB · Wed, Sep 23, 2026
Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants
Final score: Minnesota Twins 4 · 2 San Francisco Giants. 32 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.23 | +1.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turner Hill | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | +42.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Emmanuel Rodriguez | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.48 | +35.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cesar Perdomo | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.97 | +35.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.07 | +29.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan Kreidler | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.13 | +26.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Shay Whitcomb | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +24.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Victor Bericoto | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.56 | +24.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brett Harris | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.01 | +24.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +23.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonah Cox | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.36 | +23.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Turner Hill | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.48 | +21.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Andrew Knizner | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.24 | +20.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +16.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Victor Bericoto | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.20 | +13.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Scott Bandura | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.98 | +12.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.87 | +12.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.65 | +12.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Osleivis Basabe | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.97 | +11.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +10.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.50 | +9.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +8.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Anthony Molina | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.72 | +7.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Luke Keaschall | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +6.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Emmanuel Rodriguez | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.10 | +5.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.67 | +3.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Connor Prielipp | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.24 | +3.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Christian Koss | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.99 | +2.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +1.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonah Cox | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.82 | +1.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andrew Knizner | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.30 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Osleivis Basabe | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.84 | +0.6% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Francisco Giants or Minnesota Twinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 42.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 18, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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