Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Fri, Sep 25, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 2 · 0 Philadelphia Phillies. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.87 | +5.2% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.41 | +5.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.18 | +23.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| Ryan Vilade | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.26 | +19.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nick Fortes | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.21 | +8.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.64 | +6.4% | 10 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.53 | +4.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +4.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +3.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Edmundo Sosa | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.02 | +2.6% | 0 | WIN |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.07 | +2.5% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.