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MLB · Sun, Sep 27, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3 · 7 Philadelphia Phillies. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.22 | +3.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.80 | +70.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.73 | +64.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.01 | +50.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +30.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cedric Mullins | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.12 | +25.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.38 | +19.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Edmundo Sosa | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.22 | +13.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.66 | +7.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| Justin Crawford | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.23 | +5.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.59 | +4.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.74 | +3.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.06 | +3.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.98 | +1.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +1.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.79 | +1.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +1.1% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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