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MLB · Tue, Sep 29, 2026
Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros
Final score: Chicago White Sox 6 · 3 Houston Astros. 21 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Spence | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | +65.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Teel | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +52.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andrew Benintendi | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.48 | +47.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +31.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +31.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.01 | +30.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Chase Meidroth | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.76 | +28.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +24.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Braden Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | +24.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +16.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +16.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Teel | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.23 | +15.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +12.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sam Antonacci | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.71 | +10.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Tristan Peters | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.57 | +10.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cam Smith | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.47 | +6.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tristan Peters | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.20 | +4.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Yainer Diaz | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +2.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yainer Diaz | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.71 | +1.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Lucas Spence | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.97 | +1.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.10 | +0.1% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Chicago White Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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