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NFL · Sun, Oct 4, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks
Final score: Los Angeles Chargers 23 · 30 Seattle Seahawks. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 3.76 | +12.8% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | -7 | 1.87 | +4.5% | PUSH |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.09 | +87.2% | 1 | WIN |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 35.5 | 1.88 | +86.1% | 18 | WIN |
| Omarion Hampton | Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +74.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 49.5 | 1.90 | +63.6% | 81 | LOSS |
| Keaton Mitchell | Los Angeles Chargers | Receiving Yards | under | 11.5 | 1.88 | +62.2% | 24 | LOSS |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 11.5 | 1.88 | +48.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Keaton Mitchell | Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.93 | +42.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 2.10 | +39.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 21.5 | 1.91 | +37.5% | 20 | WIN |
| Tory Horton | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.88 | +30.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| Ladd McConkey | Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.61 | +26.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Quentin Johnston | Los Angeles Chargers | Receiving Yards | under | 36.5 | 1.88 | +25.2% | 44 | LOSS |
| Tory Horton | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.60 | +23.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Omarion Hampton | Los Angeles Chargers | Rushing Yards | over | 46.5 | 1.92 | +19.3% | 45 | LOSS |
| Quentin Johnston | Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.62 | +17.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Cooper Kupp | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.86 | +17.9% | 13 | LOSS |
| Ladd McConkey | Los Angeles Chargers | Receiving Yards | under | 47.5 | 1.87 | +15.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 93.5 | 1.88 | +14.0% | 76 | LOSS |
| Omarion Hampton | Los Angeles Chargers | Receiving Yards | over | 5.5 | 1.83 | +12.9% | 8 | WIN |
| Keaton Mitchell | Los Angeles Chargers | Rushing Yards | over | 18.5 | 1.88 | +11.8% | 39 | WIN |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.52 | +10.3% | 1 | WIN |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.33 | +10.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 30.5 | 1.92 | +8.1% | 12 | WIN |
| Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers | Passing Yards | over | 200.5 | 1.90 | +6.1% | 189 | LOSS |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | Passing Yards | over | 234.5 | 1.88 | +3.8% | 168 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Seahawks or Los Angeles Chargersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders | 31 | 77.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills | 43 | 41.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers | 19 | 68.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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