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NFL · Sun, Nov 8, 2026
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers
Final score: Houston Texans 44 · 22 Los Angeles Chargers. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kolar | Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.23 | +64.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Omarion Hampton | Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +52.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kimani Vidal | Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.87 | +33.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | under | 13.5 | 1.85 | +30.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Kayshon Boutte | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.93 | +29.4% | 125 | WIN |
| Kayshon Boutte | Houston Texans | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +25.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Xavier Hutchinson | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.89 | +25.8% | 29 | WIN |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.59 | +21.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Keaton Mitchell | Los Angeles Chargers | Rushing Yards | over | 11.5 | 1.88 | +19.3% | 33 | WIN |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Rushing Yards | under | 64.5 | 1.87 | +19.2% | 70 | LOSS |
| Omarion Hampton | Los Angeles Chargers | Rushing Yards | over | 37.5 | 1.92 | +15.2% | 60 | WIN |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.88 | +14.9% | 20 | LOSS |
| Quentin Johnston | Los Angeles Chargers | Receiving Yards | over | 29.5 | 1.87 | +14.9% | 58 | WIN |
| Dalton Schultz | Houston Texans | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.30 | +14.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.93 | +14.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | Rushing Yards | under | 7.5 | 1.92 | +13.8% | 20 | LOSS |
| Nico Collins | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.66 | +9.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Nico Collins | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 68.5 | 1.88 | +7.5% | 55 | LOSS |
| Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers | Rushing Yards | over | 22.5 | 1.89 | +7.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| Omarion Hampton | Los Angeles Chargers | Receiving Yards | over | 6.5 | 1.84 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keaton Mitchell | Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.86 | +5.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers | Passing TDs | under | 0.5 | 2.84 | +4.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | Passing Yards | over | 250.5 | 1.89 | +3.7% | 384 | WIN |
| Xavier Hutchinson | Houston Texans | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.49 | +2.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Kimani Vidal | Los Angeles Chargers | Rushing Yards | over | 19.5 | 1.88 | +2.4% | 30 | WIN |
| Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers | Passing Yards | under | 213.5 | 1.90 | +0.5% | 193 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Chargers or Houston Texans that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams | 32 | 56.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | New York Giants at Houston Texans | 42 | 64.3% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs | 36 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars | 48 | 62.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans | 47 | 68.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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