Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Mon, Oct 5, 2026
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers
Final score: Detroit Lions 26 · 32 Carolina Panthers. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 51.5 | 1.98 | +0.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 66.5 | 1.89 | +78.2% | 122 | LOSS |
| Sione Vaki | Detroit Lions | Rushing Yards | under | 11.5 | 1.92 | +70.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | Rushing Yards | under | 95.5 | 1.89 | +52.0% | 46 | WIN |
| Tetairoa McMillan | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.20 | +50.0% | 14 | LOSS |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 19.5 | 1.90 | +43.4% | 7 | WIN |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.22 | +39.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | over | 50.5 | 1.91 | +30.3% | 102 | WIN |
| Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.04 | +29.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Brock Wright | Detroit Lions | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +23.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 1.80 | +21.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Tommy Tremble | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.12 | +21.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | Passing Yards | over | 257.5 | 1.89 | +20.4% | 412 | WIN |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Passing Yards | under | 240.5 | 1.88 | +19.7% | 329 | LOSS |
| Tommy Tremble | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.86 | +19.0% | 12 | WIN |
| Tetairoa McMillan | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 71.5 | 1.90 | +18.4% | 192 | LOSS |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | over | 37.5 | 1.90 | +14.8% | 31 | LOSS |
| Darren Waller | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.62 | +11.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | under | 77.5 | 1.90 | +9.6% | 75 | WIN |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.87 | +5.6% | 3 | WIN |
| AJ Dillon | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.92 | +5.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Brock Wright | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | over | 5.5 | 1.91 | +4.9% | 8 | WIN |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Detroit Lions | Receptions | under | 7.5 | 1.70 | +4.1% | 8 | LOSS |
| Isaac TeSlaa | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.85 | +3.8% | 95 | WIN |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | Rushing Yards | under | 0.5 | 1.97 | +2.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Darren Waller | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 31.5 | 1.92 | +0.5% | 36 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Carolina Panthers or Detroit Lionsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Jets at Detroit Lions | 52 | 51.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns | 43 | 46.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons | 17 | 47.1% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions | 21 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers | 32 | 56.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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