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NFL · Tue, Oct 13, 2026
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Final score: Buffalo Bills 37 · 34 Los Angeles Rams. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson Knox | Buffalo Bills | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +58.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Colby Parkinson | Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.48 | +43.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Dalton Kincaid | Buffalo Bills | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.81 | +36.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills | Rushing Yards | under | 37.5 | 1.92 | +36.1% | 121 | LOSS |
| Keon Coleman | Buffalo Bills | Receiving Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.88 | +30.8% | 7 | WIN |
| Colby Parkinson | Los Angeles Rams | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.89 | +28.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Blake Corum | Los Angeles Rams | Rushing Yards | over | 35.5 | 1.88 | +27.2% | 19 | LOSS |
| Dawson Knox | Buffalo Bills | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.90 | +25.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| Kyren Williams | Los Angeles Rams | Rushing Yards | over | 68.5 | 1.88 | +25.4% | 49 | LOSS |
| Ty Johnson | Buffalo Bills | Receiving Yards | over | 11.5 | 1.86 | +23.5% | 72 | WIN |
| Dalton Kincaid | Buffalo Bills | Receiving Yards | under | 54.5 | 1.88 | +23.4% | 7 | WIN |
| Kyren Williams | Los Angeles Rams | Receiving Yards | under | 22.5 | 1.87 | +21.6% | 27 | LOSS |
| Keon Coleman | Buffalo Bills | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.61 | +19.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Khalil Shakir | Buffalo Bills | Receiving Yards | under | 46.5 | 1.89 | +18.3% | 80 | LOSS |
| Jordan Whittington | Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | under | 0.5 | 2.38 | +15.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.85 | +13.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Khalil Shakir | Buffalo Bills | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.85 | +13.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Ty Johnson | Buffalo Bills | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.59 | +10.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | Rushing Yards | under | 1.5 | 1.81 | +5.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Puka Nacua | Los Angeles Rams | Receiving Yards | under | 93.5 | 1.90 | +5.1% | 138 | LOSS |
| Jordan Whittington | Los Angeles Rams | Receiving Yards | under | 5.5 | 1.87 | +4.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Davante Adams | Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.07 | +3.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Tyler Higbee | Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.78 | +2.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Kyren Williams | Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.31 | +2.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| Puka Nacua | Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | over | 7.5 | 2.01 | +1.4% | 17 | WIN |
| Davante Adams | Los Angeles Rams | Receiving Yards | under | 62.5 | 1.89 | +0.2% | 51 | WIN |
| Tyler Higbee | Los Angeles Rams | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.86 | +0.1% | 83 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Rams or Buffalo Bills that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles | 23 | 60.9% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills | 41 | 70.7% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2026 | Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos | 46 | 56.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills | 43 | 41.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans | 32 | 40.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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