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Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Tue, Nov 10, 2026

Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings

Final score: Buffalo Bills 23 · 6 Minnesota Vikings. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score23 · 6
Tracked picks25
Hit rate84.0%
Decided / Wins25 / 21

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

MarketPickLineOddsEVResult
Moneylinehome02.45+6.9%LOSS
Spreadhome32.00+5.2%LOSS

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Dawson KnoxBuffalo BillsReceptionsover1.52.70+74.3%4WIN
Justin JeffersonMinnesota VikingsReceiving Yardsunder78.51.91+64.3%58WIN
Justin JeffersonMinnesota VikingsReceptionsunder6.51.86+57.9%3WIN
DJ MooreBuffalo BillsReceiving Yardsunder47.51.90+54.9%25WIN
Jordan AddisonMinnesota VikingsReceptionsunder3.51.87+50.0%2WIN
DJ MooreBuffalo BillsReceptionsunder3.52.06+43.9%3WIN
Ben YurosekMinnesota VikingsReceptionsunder0.52.07+43.9%0WIN
Jordan AddisonMinnesota VikingsReceiving Yardsunder41.51.87+39.8%28WIN
Carson WentzMinnesota VikingsPassing Yardsunder209.51.90+33.6%81WIN
T.J. HockensonMinnesota VikingsReceiving Yardsunder41.51.92+27.9%33WIN
Keon ColemanBuffalo BillsReceiving Yardsunder28.51.88+23.7%17WIN
T.J. HockensonMinnesota VikingsReceptionsunder4.51.78+23.5%4WIN
Carson WentzMinnesota VikingsPassing TDsunder1.51.65+13.8%0WIN
Carson WentzMinnesota VikingsRushing Yardsunder7.51.89+10.7%0WIN
Dawson KnoxBuffalo BillsReceiving Yardsover7.51.84+10.4%37WIN
Ty JohnsonBuffalo BillsReceptionsover2.52.35+9.5%2LOSS
Ty JohnsonBuffalo BillsReceiving Yardsover16.51.93+9.1%36WIN
Josh AllenBuffalo BillsRushing Yardsunder31.51.92+7.7%15WIN
Ben YurosekMinnesota VikingsReceiving Yardsunder1.51.91+6.9%0WIN
Josh AllenBuffalo BillsPassing Yardsover238.51.89+6.0%234LOSS
Jordan MasonMinnesota VikingsRushing Yardsunder47.51.90+2.4%35WIN
Khalil ShakirBuffalo BillsReceptionsunder4.51.64+1.0%4WIN
Ray DavisBuffalo BillsRushing Yardsunder5.51.90+0.8%2WIN

Recent NFL games for these teams

Other games involving Minnesota Vikings or Buffalo Bills that we’ve published picks for.

DateMatchupPicksHit rate
Sun, Nov 1, 2026Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions3852.6%View →
Sun, Nov 1, 2026Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills4652.2%View →
Sun, Oct 25, 2026Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings3180.6%View →
Sun, Oct 18, 2026Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders3060.0%View →
Tue, Oct 13, 2026Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams2759.3%View →
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints3151.6%View →

Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET

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