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NBA · Thu, Oct 29, 2026
Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans
Final score: Denver Nuggets 104 · 91 New Orleans Pelicans. 20 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 239.5 | 1.87 | +4.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | New Orleans Pelicans | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.18 | +57.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Points | under | 24.5 | 1.84 | +50.6% | 23 | WIN |
| Trey Murphy III | New Orleans Pelicans | Points | over | 16.5 | 1.95 | +50.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| Christian Braun | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.93 | +42.1% | 15 | WIN |
| Zion Williamson | New Orleans Pelicans | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 2.12 | +40.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Aaron Gordon | Denver Nuggets | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.82 | +38.7% | 15 | WIN |
| Aaron Gordon | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 2.01 | +33.1% | 11 | LOSS |
| Zion Williamson | New Orleans Pelicans | Points | over | 19.5 | 1.91 | +31.4% | 25 | WIN |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.83 | +18.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets | Assists | under | 10.5 | 1.83 | +17.2% | 10 | WIN |
| Dejounte Murray | New Orleans Pelicans | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.86 | +16.3% | 10 | WIN |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.83 | +14.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Dejounte Murray | New Orleans Pelicans | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 1.96 | +13.4% | 8 | WIN |
| Trey Murphy III | New Orleans Pelicans | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.65 | +12.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 26.5 | 1.86 | +8.7% | 21 | LOSS |
| Aaron Gordon | Denver Nuggets | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.69 | +3.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | under | 12.5 | 1.78 | +3.6% | 13 | LOSS |
| Christian Braun | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.76 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dejounte Murray | New Orleans Pelicans | Assists | over | 6.5 | 2.11 | +2.0% | 5 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving New Orleans Pelicans or Denver Nuggets that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz | 10 | 70.0% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 23, 2026 | Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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