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Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NBA · Fri, Oct 23, 2026

Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder

Final score: Denver Nuggets 84 · 96 Oklahoma City Thunder. 30 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score84 · 96
Tracked picks30
Hit rate36.7%
Decided / Wins30 / 11

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

MarketPickLineOddsEVResult
Spreadaway-8.51.91+2.9%LOSS

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Ajay MitchellOklahoma City ThunderPointsunder11.51.92+86.1%12LOSS
Christian BraunDenver NuggetsPointsover10.51.94+71.4%7LOSS
Cameron JohnsonDenver NuggetsPointsover12.51.88+70.3%5LOSS
Cameron JohnsonDenver NuggetsAssistsover2.52.39+58.5%1LOSS
Jared McCainOklahoma City ThunderPointsover9.51.84+53.9%4LOSS
Isaiah HartensteinOklahoma City ThunderPointsover8.51.94+51.7%6LOSS
Chet HolmgrenOklahoma City ThunderAssistsover1.52.10+39.3%2WIN
Isaiah HartensteinOklahoma City ThunderReboundsover8.52.09+37.3%6LOSS
Aaron GordonDenver NuggetsReboundsunder5.52.02+33.8%6LOSS
Jamal MurrayDenver NuggetsPointsunder22.51.93+32.6%6WIN
Aaron GordonDenver NuggetsAssistsover2.52.16+32.5%1LOSS
Isaiah HartensteinOklahoma City ThunderAssistsover2.51.78+29.0%2LOSS
Christian BraunDenver NuggetsReboundsover3.51.67+26.2%6WIN
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOklahoma City ThunderReboundsover3.51.71+25.4%2LOSS
Cason WallaceOklahoma City ThunderPointsunder9.51.83+25.3%9WIN
Jalen WilliamsOklahoma City ThunderPointsover18.51.84+22.8%21WIN
Jamal MurrayDenver NuggetsAssistsunder6.51.85+19.7%3WIN
Christian BraunDenver NuggetsAssistsover1.51.60+19.3%1LOSS
Cameron JohnsonDenver NuggetsReboundsover3.51.85+19.0%2LOSS
Nikola JokicDenver NuggetsAssistsunder10.51.79+14.7%5WIN
Nikola JokicDenver NuggetsReboundsunder12.51.95+13.5%7WIN
Chet HolmgrenOklahoma City ThunderReboundsunder7.52.10+12.5%17LOSS
Nikola JokicDenver NuggetsPointsover26.51.91+11.6%13LOSS
Jalen WilliamsOklahoma City ThunderAssistsover4.52.01+11.1%3LOSS
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOklahoma City ThunderPointsunder31.51.93+9.6%17WIN
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOklahoma City ThunderAssistsunder6.51.85+8.6%3WIN
Aaron GordonDenver NuggetsPointsunder14.51.83+5.8%20LOSS
Jalen WilliamsOklahoma City ThunderReboundsover4.51.71+4.7%5WIN
Cason WallaceOklahoma City ThunderAssistsover2.52.20+0.3%1LOSS

Recent NBA games for these teams

Other games involving Oklahoma City Thunder or Denver Nuggets that we’ve published picks for.

DateMatchupPicksHit rate
Sun, May 31, 2026San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder5538.2%View →
Fri, May 29, 2026Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs5145.1%View →
Wed, May 27, 2026San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder5060.0%View →
Mon, May 25, 2026Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs5347.2%View →
Sat, May 23, 2026Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs4761.7%View →
Thu, May 21, 2026San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder4865.9%View →

Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET

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