Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB
Carson Kelly prop predictions
Every Carson Kelly player prop we have tracked since coverage started, with the line we played, what he actually did, and the hit rate stat by stat. Today's edge and confidence levels stay members-only.
Stat-by-stat coverage
How the model has performed on each Carson Kelly prop market we cover. Decided picks only; pushes excluded from hit rate.
| Stat | Tracked | W | L | Push | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 13 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 30.8% |
| Total Bases | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 50.0% |
| RBIs | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% |
Recent recommendations
The last 15 Carson Kelly props the model rated positive expected value, with the recommended side, the closing line, and the result.
| Date | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.93 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 25 | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 16 | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.48 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 15 | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 3 | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.50 | 0 | LOSS |
| Aug 15 | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | 1 | WIN |
| Aug 12 | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | 0 | WIN |
| Aug 9 | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | 2 | LOSS |
| Aug 8 | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | 2 | LOSS |
| Aug 6 | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.87 | 0 | LOSS |
| Aug 5 | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | 3 | LOSS |
| Jul 22 | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | 1 | WIN |
| Jul 11 | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | 5 | LOSS |
| Jul 9 | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | 0 | WIN |
| Jul 1 | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | 2 | LOSS |
Other Chicago Cubs players we track
Browse the model’s prop history for Carson Kelly’s teammates.
| Player | Position | Picks tracked | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner | n/a | 128 | 63.0% | View → |
| Seiya Suzuki | n/a | 113 | 36.9% | View → |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | n/a | 111 | 53.6% | View → |
| Michael Busch | n/a | 83 | 21.7% | View → |
| Alex Bregman | n/a | 63 | 54.0% | View → |
| Dansby Swanson | n/a | 60 | 41.7% | View → |
| Ian Happ | n/a | 39 | 31.6% | View → |
| Shota Imanaga | n/a | 22 | 31.8% | View → |
Today’s edge stays private
Members get the daily Parlay of the Day, plus the full set of NotaSportsGuru picks across NBA, NHL, NFL, MLB and UFC. With edge and confidence on every leg. Membership is by application.