MLB · Sat, May 9, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Atlanta Braves 7 – 2 Los Angeles Dodgers. 20 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.98 | +19.0% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.02 | +2.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.47 | +93.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Dominic Smith | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.71 | +68.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +52.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.44 | +44.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +41.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.53 | +38.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +38.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.14 | +38.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | +35.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +20.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Will Smith | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +17.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +11.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.83 | +9.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +8.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +6.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +1.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Alex Freeland | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.93 | +1.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +1.1% | 0 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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