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MLB · Tue, Oct 6, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 3 · 1 Atlanta Braves. 30 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.92 | +83.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.58 | +81.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.96 | +72.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.46 | +63.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.15 | +58.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.68 | +57.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.39 | +52.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.79 | +52.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.75 | +50.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.69 | +48.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.01 | +47.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.39 | +45.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.84 | +41.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +39.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Will Smith | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.67 | +38.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.67 | +35.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.73 | +25.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +10.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.83 | +8.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.87 | +4.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +4.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +3.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.81 | +3.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +3.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.71 | +3.1% | 7 | WIN |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +2.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.53 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.81 | +1.7% | 10 | LOSS |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.83 | +1.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.85 | +0.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Los Angeles Dodgersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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