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MLB · Mon, Oct 5, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Atlanta Braves 3 · 2 Los Angeles Dodgers. 20 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.76 | +63.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.10 | +56.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.59 | +54.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.43 | +38.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Lane Thomas | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.64 | +37.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.14 | +36.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Blake Snell | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.10 | +33.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +30.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.42 | +25.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +10.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.94 | +8.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +7.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +5.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +5.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +5.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +2.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +2.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.57 | +2.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +1.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +1.7% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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