MLB · Sun, May 10, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Atlanta Braves 7 – 2 Los Angeles Dodgers. 58 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 5.75 | +72.5% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.71 | +19.4% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.85 | +19.1% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 2.03 | +16.0% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.53 | +9.3% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 2.14 | +8.5% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.87 | +7.2% | PUSH |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 10.50 | +332.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 8.00 | +317.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 8.00 | +234.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.50 | +212.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.90 | +149.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +143.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Alex Freeland | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.60 | +137.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.75 | +136.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dalton Rushing | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.10 | +119.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +115.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.80 | +112.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Hyeseong Kim | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.90 | +110.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.40 | +100.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.40 | +96.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dominic Smith | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.40 | +96.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sean Murphy | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.10 | +93.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +82.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +75.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.55 | +74.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.80 | +74.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 2.10 | +54.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.55 | +52.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.26 | +49.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Dominic Smith | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.77 | +43.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.74 | +41.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.05 | +39.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 2.5 | 1.55 | +38.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.83 | +37.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.77 | +35.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Will Smith | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.35 | +34.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Eli White | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +24.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryce Elder | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.88 | +22.6% | 8 | WIN |
| Dalton Rushing | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.05 | +21.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.87 | +15.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | under | 3.5 | 1.16 | +14.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.40 | +14.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.26 | +13.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 2.5 | 1.21 | +12.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.27 | +11.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +9.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | under | 2.5 | 1.14 | +8.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Justin Wrobleski | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.83 | +7.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | under | 2.5 | 1.09 | +6.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Jorge Mateo | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.25 | +5.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Eli White | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.12 | +4.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jorge Mateo | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.20 | +3.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +2.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +2.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.27 | +0.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.48 | +0.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alex Call | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.95 | +0.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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