MLB · Tue, May 12, 2026
San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: San Francisco Giants 6 – 2 Los Angeles Dodgers. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.52 | +3.5% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.82 | +2.6% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 9 | 1.93 | +1.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +59.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +19.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +17.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Heliot Ramos | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +12.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.68 | +10.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +6.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +5.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +3.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Matt Chapman | San Francisco Giants | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.76 | +1.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.49 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
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