NBA · Thu, May 14, 2026
Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons
Final score: Cleveland Cavaliers 117 – 113 Detroit Pistons. 53 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 212.5 | 1.93 | +25.7% | WIN |
| Spread | away | -3.5 | 1.95 | +16.2% | WIN |
| Spread | away | -4.5 | 1.85 | +15.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.83 | +75.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Dean Wade | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 3.5 | 2.02 | +66.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Caris LeVert | Detroit Pistons | Points | over | 7.5 | 2.05 | +66.5% | 7 | LOSS |
| Daniss Jenkins | Detroit Pistons | Points | under | 8.5 | 1.91 | +65.0% | 19 | LOSS |
| Tobias Harris | Detroit Pistons | Points | under | 18.5 | 1.81 | +63.9% | 13 | WIN |
| Daniss Jenkins | Detroit Pistons | Assists | under | 2.5 | 2.20 | +63.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ausar Thompson | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | under | 6.5 | 2.10 | +60.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| Caris LeVert | Detroit Pistons | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.78 | +58.8% | 7 | WIN |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.58 | +57.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Dennis Schroder | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.81 | +57.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.97 | +55.3% | 21 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 27.5 | 1.83 | +53.9% | 21 | WIN |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 7.5 | 2.07 | +47.2% | 10 | WIN |
| Ausar Thompson | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | under | 7.5 | 1.66 | +44.3% | 7 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 14.5 | 1.84 | +44.2% | 19 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 15.5 | 2.01 | +41.4% | 19 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 18.5 | 1.85 | +39.8% | 30 | WIN |
| Dean Wade | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +36.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Max Strus | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.66 | +34.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 19.5 | 1.96 | +33.3% | 30 | WIN |
| Ausar Thompson | Detroit Pistons | Assists | under | 2.5 | 2.27 | +32.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| Cade Cunningham | Detroit Pistons | Points | under | 27.5 | 1.82 | +31.3% | 39 | LOSS |
| Tobias Harris | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | under | 6.5 | 2.07 | +31.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Caris LeVert | Detroit Pistons | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.35 | +29.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sam Merrill | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 5.5 | 2.02 | +29.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 3.5 | 1.82 | +29.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jalen Duren | Detroit Pistons | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.69 | +28.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Cade Cunningham | Detroit Pistons | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.94 | +26.6% | 39 | LOSS |
| Ausar Thompson | Detroit Pistons | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.60 | +26.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 6.5 | 1.77 | +26.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| Max Strus | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 7.5 | 1.75 | +26.0% | 20 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.85 | +24.5% | 8 | WIN |
| Jaylon Tyson | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.83 | +23.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dean Wade | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.61 | +22.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Ausar Thompson | Detroit Pistons | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.83 | +22.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.80 | +22.2% | 16 | WIN |
| Max Strus | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 8.5 | 2.04 | +21.4% | 20 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 7.5 | 1.83 | +20.4% | 8 | WIN |
| Jalen Duren | Detroit Pistons | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.95 | +17.0% | 9 | WIN |
| Caris LeVert | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.10 | +16.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cade Cunningham | Detroit Pistons | Assists | under | 9.5 | 1.76 | +14.0% | 9 | WIN |
| Cade Cunningham | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 2.08 | +14.0% | 7 | WIN |
| Max Strus | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.81 | +11.4% | 8 | WIN |
| Jalen Duren | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 1.71 | +11.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| Tobias Harris | Detroit Pistons | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.62 | +10.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Jaylon Tyson | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 3.5 | 1.82 | +7.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.85 | +5.8% | 16 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.97 | +1.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Duren | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | over | 9.5 | 1.93 | +0.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Daniss Jenkins | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 1.75 | +0.6% | 2 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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