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Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NBA · Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat

Final score: Detroit Pistons 128 · 111 Miami Heat. 30 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score128 · 111
Tracked picks30
Hit rate66.7%
Decided / Wins30 / 20

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

MarketPickLineOddsEVResult
Spreadaway-1.51.85+11.1%WIN
Game Totalover236.51.95+1.2%WIN

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Pelle LarssonMiami HeatAssistsunder2.52.30+97.8%1WIN
Pelle LarssonMiami HeatPointsunder8.51.95+84.1%7WIN
Jalen DurenDetroit PistonsPointsunder17.51.82+71.9%4WIN
John CollinsDetroit PistonsAssistsover1.52.58+64.9%1LOSS
John CollinsDetroit PistonsPointsover12.51.85+61.8%23WIN
Davion MitchellMiami HeatAssistsunder6.51.84+55.0%5WIN
Ausar ThompsonDetroit PistonsAssistsunder4.51.70+54.7%4WIN
Andrew WigginsMiami HeatPointsover13.51.88+53.4%8LOSS
John CollinsDetroit PistonsReboundsover5.52.01+50.0%7WIN
Klay ThompsonMiami HeatPointsover10.51.85+49.5%6LOSS
Ausar ThompsonDetroit PistonsReboundsunder6.51.91+46.2%3WIN
Pelle LarssonMiami HeatReboundsunder2.52.01+45.4%2WIN
Bobby PortisMiami HeatReboundsover5.52.06+41.2%8WIN
Tim Hardaway Jr.Miami HeatPointsover8.51.81+39.9%8LOSS
Davion MitchellMiami HeatPointsunder9.51.78+33.7%18LOSS
Bam AdebayoMiami HeatAssistsover3.52.16+32.3%3LOSS
Bobby PortisMiami HeatPointsover10.51.96+25.1%11WIN
Andrew WigginsMiami HeatAssistsover1.51.62+22.7%2WIN
Cade CunninghamDetroit PistonsReboundsover4.51.71+21.4%2LOSS
Jalen DurenDetroit PistonsAssistsover2.52.29+19.1%3WIN
Cade CunninghamDetroit PistonsAssistsunder9.51.78+15.3%8WIN
Andrew WigginsMiami HeatReboundsover3.51.65+9.7%8WIN
Giannis AntetokounmpoMiami HeatReboundsover10.51.95+9.3%12WIN
Duncan RobinsonDetroit PistonsAssistsover1.51.62+8.4%2WIN
Duncan RobinsonDetroit PistonsPointsunder10.51.93+5.3%17LOSS
Giannis AntetokounmpoMiami HeatAssistsover5.51.76+1.7%5LOSS
Ausar ThompsonDetroit PistonsPointsunder10.51.74+1.2%4WIN
Bam AdebayoMiami HeatReboundsover8.51.77+0.4%6LOSS

Recent NBA games for these teams

Other games involving Miami Heat or Detroit Pistons that we’ve published picks for.

DateMatchupPicksHit rate
Mon, May 18, 2026Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons4671.7%View →
Fri, May 15, 2026Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers4151.2%View →
Thu, May 14, 2026Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons5358.5%View →
Wed, May 13, 2026Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons3857.9%View →
Tue, May 12, 2026Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers6960.9%View →
Sat, May 9, 2026Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers8747.1%View →

Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET

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