NBA · Fri, May 15, 2026
Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers
Final score: Detroit Pistons 115 – 94 Cleveland Cavaliers. 41 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 209.5 | 1.89 | +27.5% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | -3.5 | 1.85 | +8.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Wade | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 3.5 | 2.24 | +84.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Dennis Schroder | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.85 | +77.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daniss Jenkins | Detroit Pistons | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.83 | +69.6% | 15 | LOSS |
| Caris LeVert | Detroit Pistons | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.86 | +65.9% | 8 | WIN |
| Tobias Harris | Detroit Pistons | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.89 | +62.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Dennis Schroder | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.81 | +57.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Ausar Thompson | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | under | 6.5 | 2.01 | +53.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.93 | +52.2% | 18 | WIN |
| Daniss Jenkins | Detroit Pistons | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.67 | +50.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Jalen Duren | Detroit Pistons | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.89 | +43.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 7.5 | 1.99 | +41.5% | 8 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 15.5 | 1.99 | +40.0% | 18 | WIN |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +38.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 6.5 | 1.91 | +36.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Dean Wade | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.76 | +34.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 3.5 | 1.88 | +33.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Cade Cunningham | Detroit Pistons | Points | under | 27.5 | 1.85 | +33.5% | 21 | WIN |
| Ausar Thompson | Detroit Pistons | Assists | under | 2.5 | 2.28 | +32.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| Max Strus | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.62 | +31.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Caris LeVert | Detroit Pistons | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.63 | +27.8% | 3 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 19.5 | 1.85 | +25.9% | 23 | WIN |
| Caris LeVert | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | over | 1.5 | 1.60 | +25.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Jalen Duren | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 1.93 | +25.4% | 11 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.85 | +24.5% | 7 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.60 | +24.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Dean Wade | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.14 | +21.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ausar Thompson | Detroit Pistons | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.81 | +21.0% | 10 | WIN |
| Jalen Duren | Detroit Pistons | Points | over | 10.5 | 1.91 | +20.4% | 15 | WIN |
| Tobias Harris | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | under | 6.5 | 1.88 | +19.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Cade Cunningham | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.63 | +15.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Sam Merrill | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 5.5 | 1.75 | +12.3% | 10 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 2.12 | +11.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| Tobias Harris | Detroit Pistons | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.60 | +8.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Duncan Robinson | Detroit Pistons | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.62 | +8.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.87 | +6.9% | 13 | WIN |
| Max Strus | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.76 | +4.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| Duncan Robinson | Detroit Pistons | Points | under | 10.5 | 1.91 | +4.2% | 14 | LOSS |
| Daniss Jenkins | Detroit Pistons | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 1.79 | +2.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Max Strus | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.76 | +1.8% | 8 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.
