MLB · Wed, May 20, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
Final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 – 4 San Diego Padres. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.93 | +3.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | +44.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.36 | +33.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Griffin Canning | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.10 | +27.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +26.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.24 | +4.4% | 0 | WIN |
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