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MLB · Wed, Oct 7, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 3 · 4 San Diego Padres. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.13 | +8.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.75 | +80.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dustin Harris | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.36 | +55.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cooper Pratt | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.15 | +55.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dustin May | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.18 | +54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.87 | +53.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +48.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.16 | +48.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +45.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Dustin May | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.63 | +40.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Ethan Salas | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.31 | +39.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.81 | +38.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.06 | +29.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.04 | +27.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Pivetta | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +26.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Jake Cronenworth | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.91 | +25.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +24.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Sal Frelick | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.99 | +24.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.04 | +23.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.70 | +20.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.71 | +17.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Frelick | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.36 | +16.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.31 | +5.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +4.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.82 | +2.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.45 | +0.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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