Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, May 21, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
Final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4 · 0 San Diego Padres. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.99 | +11.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.75 | +73.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Randy Vasquez | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.32 | +39.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +19.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.79 | +16.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +3.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Ramon Laureano | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.94 | +1.1% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Los Angeles Dodgers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 31 | 45.2% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 12, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers | 37 | 48.6% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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