MLB · Thu, May 21, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
Final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4 – 0 San Diego Padres. 5 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.99 | +11.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.75 | +73.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Randy Vasquez | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.32 | +39.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.79 | +16.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Ramon Laureano | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.94 | +1.1% | 1 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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