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MLB · Sat, May 30, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 2 · 4 Los Angeles Dodgers. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.83 | +6.6% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 8 | 1.97 | +0.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +42.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +12.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +11.1% | 4 | WIN |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +10.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +10.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +9.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +8.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Justin Wrobleski | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.96 | +7.6% | 9 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +7.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +1.6% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or Philadelphia Phillies that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 31 | 45.2% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 12, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers | 37 | 48.6% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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