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MLB · Sun, Jun 14, 2026
San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: San Diego Padres 5 · 2 Baltimore Orioles. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.97 | +4.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.19 | +45.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Sung-Mun Song | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.01 | +28.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +16.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +15.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +15.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.70 | +15.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.78 | +12.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +8.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +8.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +7.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +4.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Samad Taylor | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +4.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Trevor Rogers | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.83 | +0.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +0.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +0.3% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 66.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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