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MLB · Fri, Sep 25, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 10 · 2 New York Yankees. 23 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.87 | +6.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.51 | +71.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.88 | +61.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +55.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Jeremiah Jackson | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.25 | +53.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.12 | +46.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dylan Beavers | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.37 | +42.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Anthony Volpe | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.05 | +33.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Coby Mayo | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.41 | +31.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Caballero | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.08 | +31.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trevor Rogers | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.25 | +25.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +25.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.70 | +21.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.13 | +14.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.59 | +14.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Colton Cowser | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.42 | +13.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.52 | +9.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jeremiah Jackson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +6.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Heliot Ramos | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +5.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +2.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +2.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +0.9% | 2 | WIN |
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +0.2% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Baltimore Orioles | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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