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MLB · Mon, Sep 21, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3 · 4 Baltimore Orioles. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.89 | +1.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.17 | +51.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.77 | +34.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +33.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shane Baz | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.67 | +26.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +25.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brett Bateman | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.47 | +2.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Smith | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.27 | +0.2% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Toronto Blue Jaysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers | 14 | 64.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Baltimore Orioles | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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