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MLB · Fri, Jul 3, 2026
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: San Diego Padres 7 · 12 Los Angeles Dodgers. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 2.00 | +13.6% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.51 | +5.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Vasquez | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.59 | +28.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.89 | +26.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +21.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +11.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Samad Taylor | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +10.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +5.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.84 | +2.9% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or San Diego Padres that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 31 | 45.2% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 12, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers | 37 | 48.6% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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