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MLB · Sun, Jul 5, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 3 · 4 Arizona Diamondbacks. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.80 | +6.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Woodruff | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.18 | +33.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Brandon Sproat | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.08 | +22.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +19.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Frelick | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +18.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Sal Frelick | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +15.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +14.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.83 | +13.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +13.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +10.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +8.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Gary Sanchez | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +6.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +2.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.10 | +2.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +1.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +1.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +0.5% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Diamondbacks or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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