Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Jul 5, 2026
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: San Diego Padres 5 · 3 Los Angeles Dodgers. 22 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.97 | +20.8% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.98 | +12.5% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.45 | +1.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.07 | +32.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Samad Taylor | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.02 | +30.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| JP Sears | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.01 | +22.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Rodolfo Duran | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.82 | +22.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +21.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.38 | +19.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +18.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dalton Rushing | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +16.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +16.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.67 | +14.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.42 | +13.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.74 | +10.4% | 10 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +7.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.42 | +7.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Griffin Canning | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.02 | +3.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +2.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.91 | +2.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +1.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.62 | +0.6% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 42.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.