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Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Jul 18, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 6 · 7 Boston Red Sox. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score6 · 7
Tracked picks25
Hit rate52.0%
Decided / Wins25 / 13

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

MarketPickLineOddsEVResult
Moneylinehome01.83+0.7%WIN

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Ian SeymourTampa Bay RaysStrikeoutsunder4.52.35+95.4%4WIN
Patrick SandovalBoston Red SoxStrikeoutsover3.51.95+54.4%5WIN
Jahmai JonesBoston Red SoxHitsunder0.52.01+50.7%1LOSS
Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay RaysRBIsover0.52.85+38.3%0LOSS
Yandy DiazTampa Bay RaysRBIsover0.52.72+21.8%1WIN
Ryan ViladeTampa Bay RaysRBIsover0.52.73+18.8%0LOSS
Jahmai JonesBoston Red SoxRBIsunder0.51.37+15.3%2LOSS
Ben WilliamsonTampa Bay RaysTotal Basesunder1.51.56+15.1%0WIN
Junior CamineroTampa Bay RaysTotal Basesover1.51.88+13.9%1LOSS
Willson ContrerasBoston Red SoxRBIsover0.52.27+12.5%0LOSS
Willson ContrerasBoston Red SoxTotal Basesover1.52.00+12.2%0LOSS
Chandler SimpsonTampa Bay RaysRBIsunder0.51.36+9.3%0WIN
Chandler SimpsonTampa Bay RaysTotal Basesunder1.51.66+7.6%3LOSS
Romy GonzalezBoston Red SoxTotal Basesunder1.51.65+7.5%0WIN
Chandler SimpsonTampa Bay RaysHitsunder1.51.45+6.7%2LOSS
Carlos NarvaezBoston Red SoxRBIsunder0.51.31+5.5%0WIN
Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red SoxTotal Basesover1.52.17+4.2%2WIN
Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay RaysTotal Basesover1.52.11+3.4%0LOSS
Junior CamineroTampa Bay RaysHitsunder1.51.43+3.2%1WIN
Yandy DiazTampa Bay RaysHitsunder1.51.53+3.0%1WIN
Ryan ViladeTampa Bay RaysTotal Basesunder1.51.57+2.9%2LOSS
Yandy DiazTampa Bay RaysTotal Basesover1.51.93+2.9%1LOSS
Wilyer AbreuBoston Red SoxTotal Basesover1.52.07+2.5%8WIN
Andruw MonasterioBoston Red SoxRBIsunder0.51.37+0.6%0WIN

Recent MLB games for these teams

Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.

DateMatchupPicksHit rate
Sun, Sep 27, 2026Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies1729.4%View →
Fri, Sep 25, 2026Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies1145.5%View →
Fri, Sep 25, 2026Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox1729.4%View →
Thu, Sep 24, 2026Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees1136.4%View →
Thu, Sep 24, 2026Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox1921.1%View →
Wed, Sep 23, 2026Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees560.0%View →

Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET

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