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MLB · Tue, Jul 21, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 2 · 1 Philadelphia Phillies. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.13 | +7.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +25.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +21.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +20.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Derek Hill | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +19.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +13.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Justin Wrobleski | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.69 | +7.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +5.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +5.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +3.7% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Los Angeles Dodgersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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