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MLB · Fri, Jul 24, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets
Final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4 · 2 New York Mets. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.64 | +4.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea | New York Mets | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.28 | +29.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +23.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +20.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +15.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +9.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +3.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.83 | +3.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +1.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +0.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Los Angeles Dodgersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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