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MLB · Sun, Aug 2, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Boston Red Sox 8 · 4 Los Angeles Dodgers. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +31.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.81 | +26.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +16.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +13.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.04 | +9.1% | 7 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +7.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +6.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Emmet Sheehan | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.00 | +6.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.75 | +6.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +6.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +0.7% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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