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MLB · Tue, Aug 4, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 13 · 9 Colorado Rockies. 20 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 11.5 | 1.95 | +3.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.09 | +68.8% | 9 | LOSS |
| Cedric Mullins | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.95 | +29.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.87 | +28.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Lorenzen | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.24 | +26.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cedric Mullins | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +25.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.99 | +24.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.81 | +22.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Hunter Feduccia | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +21.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +21.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +20.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +20.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.67 | +19.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +18.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +18.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +18.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +9.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +6.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +6.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Karros | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +3.9% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Colorado Rockies or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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