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MLB · Wed, Aug 5, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 9 · 7 Colorado Rockies. 37 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.67 | +2.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hughes | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.19 | +61.0% | 7 | WIN |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.04 | +44.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.86 | +30.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tomoyuki Sugano | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.78 | +29.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Cedric Mullins | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.93 | +27.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.81 | +25.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.96 | +22.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Cedric Mullins | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +20.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.76 | +20.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +19.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +19.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +19.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +17.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +17.3% | 1 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +15.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.41 | +14.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.44 | +14.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +13.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +13.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +12.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +11.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Cedric Mullins | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.62 | +11.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +8.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 2.5 | 1.62 | +7.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +6.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Karros | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +6.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.40 | +5.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.32 | +5.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.25 | +5.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.28 | +4.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.89 | +3.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.53 | +2.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +2.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.29 | +2.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +1.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.66 | +0.7% | 4 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Colorado Rockies or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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