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MLB · Tue, Aug 11, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Kansas City Royals 5 · 6 Los Angeles Dodgers. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 3.58 | +7.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.91 | +2.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.99 | +97.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tarik Skubal | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 2.13 | +38.9% | 6 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.53 | +20.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +18.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.87 | +8.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +8.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.29 | +6.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.89 | +3.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Collins | Kansas City Royals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.93 | +2.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Isbel | Kansas City Royals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.06 | +2.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +1.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.48 | +1.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +0.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +0.6% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or Kansas City Royals that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 31 | 45.2% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 12, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers | 37 | 48.6% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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